Showing posts with label stocks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label stocks. Show all posts

Saturday, 16 March 2019

Stock Market Brief by Imtiaz Merchant for 18th March 2019




Markets are expecting Modi govt. to win the general elections and upward trend in global market helps market to rally about 11050 and 11200 and now, poised for higher levels. Looking at the market scenario it appears that this is a pre election rally in anticipation of strong government at the centre. It needs to be seen how the market closes under financial year ending 31st March 2019, next quarter is an election period for the market and if the existing government comes back to power then we can see the boost in the rally and market would in that case test 12500 to 13000 in the Nifty. However with so many parties, regional parties are in the fray and if uncertainty about the government remains, it would be deeply negative for the markets. One needs to watch out for election result and take major position after that.      

Technical The markets finally took a breakout above 11070 and continued its upward journey, market is likely to face stiff resistance at 11800, a close above this level could get us to level of 12500 to 13000, nevertheless in the best case scenario market may remain range bound between 11150 to 11770. Further breakout above 11770 will confirm market entering 12000 plus levels. Despite market being at its lifetime high, there are stock specific moments. If this may continue then market would remain in broad range. Long term investors can buy quality stocks with the view of 2 to 3 years.   
      
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Thursday, 4 February 2016

Hexaware Technologies Ltd – Quarterly result December 31, 2015



The Audited Standalone results for the Quarter ended December 31, 2015:

The Company has posted a net profit of Rs. 809.574 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2015 as compared to Rs. 767.792 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2014. Total Income has increased from Rs. 3063.276 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2014 to Rs. 3332.876 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2015.

The Audited Standalone results for the Year ended December 31, 2015:

The Company has posted a net profit of Rs. 3329.719 million for the year ended December 31, 2015 as compared to Rs. 3183.943 million for the year ended December 31, 2014. Total Income has increased from Rs. 11844.468 million for the year ended December 31, 2014 to Rs. 13112.862 million for the year ended December 31, 2015.

 

The Consolidated Results are as follows:

The Audited Consolidated results for the Quarter ended December 31, 2015

The Group has posted a net profit after tax of Rs. 993.613 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2015 as compared to Rs. 872.593 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2014. Total Income has increased from Rs. 7007.654 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2014 to Rs. 8282.491 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2015.

The Audited Consolidated results for the Year ended December 31, 2015

The Group has posted a net profit after tax of Rs. 3932.113 million for the year ended December 31, 2015 as compared to Rs. 3201.516 million for the year ended December 31, 2014. Total Income has increased from Rs. 25736.693 million for the year ended December 31, 2014 to Rs. 31406.803 million for the year ended December 31, 2015.

Shariah Compliant Status – Compliant (Midcap/Info. Tech.)
Debt to M.Cap – 0%
Recv. to M.Cap – 4%
Cash to M.Cap – 1%
Int. Income to Total Income – 0%


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Tuesday, 2 February 2016

Market Brief – 2nd Feb 2016

On the back of markets being over sold, staged a recovery on the news of marginal decline in fiscal deficit, strengthening rupee against dollar, rise in prices of Global equity markets, and stabilised commodity prices, aided the market to close the day and week on a positive note. The earning season reported by the companies was a mix of some good results, and some equally bad results, now since the earning season has ended the markets will look for other macro fundamental cues. One needs to see how Global markets perform in terms of the economy and the markets. One thing is for sure, that the year 2016 will be an extremely volatile year for the Global markets, including India.



Technically speaking,  if one recalls our earlier newsletters, all through we have maintained that 7200 on the Nifty is a paramount level to watch, and the markets in the previous week bounced from 7240 to close this week at 7560, this justifies short term bottom in place. The durability of this pull back rally will only be confirmed if market can manage to consistently trade above 7200 for a prolonged period. If market fails to capture 7700, and breaks below the crucial support of 7200, one would witness a huge bout of selling. Until then, markets would remain in a range between 7400 and 7700. From a medium term (intermediate) perception, a close above 8200 on the Nifty would qualify for a trend reversal. One needs to see how the markets behave to the underlying fundamentals.

Investors should be cautiously and stock specifically optimistic on the markets and be very selective in their approach. Companies with good fundamentals and growth should be bought for investments, at the same time rally should be used to exit from the laggard sectors like Metals and Mining, Capital Goods, Power & Utilities & Realty & Construction.


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Saturday, 23 January 2016

Market Brief – 25th Jan 2016.

The markets continued its downward journey and it got abetted on Thursday and Friday on the back of some stability in crude prices and Global markets, and it ended the week on flat note. The fundamentals look weak and jittery with World Bank downgrading the global GDP growth to 3.4% in 2016 and 3.6% in 2017, but there is some silver lining for Indian economy where the estimates were raised for 2016 at 7.3%, and 7.6% in 2017, well, it needs to be seen how it unfolds and the fundamentals play out. Geo-political fears, weak aggregate demand and awaited policy reforms by Indian Government will all keep the Indian markets under check. At best, one can expect a range bound trade until we see further deterioration or improvement in the underlying fundamentals. The Union Budget next month, too, will play a crucial role in giving the directions to the markets.



Technically, as mentioned in the last newsletter, 7200 on the Nifty is a very critical support and the Nifty for the moment has held this level, and gave a small bounce back on Friday. The supply of equities on higher levels, will keep the markets under check, 7500 to 7650 is the first important resistance area. One needs to see if market manages to close above 7650. If it does close above 7650, we may see some more upside to the market. However, failing to surpass these resistance levels and the undertone being bearish, hence, a close below 7200 would certainly witness a sharp sell-off and perhaps 6800 would be tested. The near term range for the market would be 7200 to 7650, and only a close above or below either sides would determine the trend going forward.

This is a very fragile market and usually occurs every 3-4 years, and according to our studies, this is a sharp correction within the Grand Bull Run. Though painful, but gives tremendous opportunities to long term investors. One need to be cautiously and stock specifically optimistic on the markets, and remain invested or invest in quality companies having good governance and growth. We once again reiterate that this is a good portfolio restructuring time.


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PRAGMATIC WEALTH MANAGEMENT PVT. LTD.
Head Office:
102, 1st Floor, Topaz Society,
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Wednesday, 20 January 2016

Markets to settle, investors to go for India: Rajan

Reserve Bank Governor Raghuram Rajan on Wednesday sought to ease fears amid the stock market plunge and the rupee nearing its lowest-ever level, saying things will stabilise and people will look at stable emerging markets, including India. The rupee, Rajan said, has been "relatively strong" in the emerging-market currency basket, but India is affected by the "same kind of jitters" hitting other world markets. "My sense is that, at this point, if you are an emerging market, you focus on fundamentals, try and get inflation down, try and get your current account deficit down, keep your fiscal on target, do all the good things, and then people reward you," he said in Davos.


Investors "take the money off the table in a hurry when they are doing it everywhere, but then they come back". "My sense is that after the initial volatility, things will stabilise, people will try and look for the good, stable emerging markets. India is one of them. Our growth is pretty good, all the other indicators seem to be going well," he told CNBC. While the rupee on Wednesday hit 68.16 per dollar (the lowest since September 2013) before closing at 67.96 per dollar, stocks plunged around 650 points to crash below the 24,000-level on global growth worries before recovering and a sharp slide in oil prices before regaining some lost ground to settle 418 points lower.


On RBI's monetary policy stance next month, he said the rest of the world is facing a deflationary environment and "that will help India disinflate". "It's helped us quite a bit so far, you're right, the lower price of oil will help," he said. Rajan is confident that India is on target to meet January inflation target of below six per cent.

"Going forward, we have to disinflate a little more. So, at the meeting (on February 2), we will take all these factors into account and decide what the next step is, but broadly I would say we are on the right path," the central banker said. Asked if there was room to manoeuvre, he said global investors want to be convinced that India will stay the course and will disinflate because they prefer lower inflation.

"So, we need to, at points of volatility, reassure them that this is indeed what we intend to do," he said. "At the same time, you are right that the disinflationary environment around the world does create room, so we have to play these things against each other."
*source: Business Standard



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Saturday, 19 July 2014

SCOPE OF ISLAMIC INVESTMENTS IN INDIA

Islamic finance industry has undergone a transformation in the last few years. Today it has started asserting itself as an alternate system of finance. This industry has made a mark by its rapid growth not only in Muslim countries but also in other secular and developed nations as well [Britain is the largest issuer of Shariah bonds (Sukuk)]. Diverse Shariah compliant financial products, which include banking products like savings and current accounts (based on Wadia and Qard), (Mudarabah based) investment accounts, financing products such as Home financing and Ijarah, insurance products and capital market products like Mutual Funds, Portfolio Management Services and Stock broking, are being offered in both Muslim and secular countries.
Shariah compliant products are based on the principles of Shariah. Shariah means Islamic law, but that does not imply that a Shariah-compliant product is restricted for persons professing a particular religious faith. According to Shariah principles, dealing in interest-based transactions, investing in harmful and unethical sectors like Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, Pornography and Gambling, etc are prohibited.
In India Muslims are second largest population after Indonesia, Indian Muslims population is estimated to be around 150, millions. In spite of this India is routinely ignored in the vast majority of the books articles on the subject of Islamic banking and or investments. Dow Jones has Islamic index, FTSE of Britain has not only Islamic Index but also a full fledge Islamic bank, but unfortunately there is not a single Islamic Product or an Islamic benchmark in Indian investment environment.
In Indian Financial market there are adequate number of Shariah compliant stocks are available offering better ROI (return on investment). The aggregate PAT to Total Income ratio of the all listed stocks is 7.5% as compared to 8.7% for Shariah compliant stocks. It clearly proves that although the universe of all listed stocks is large as compared to that of Shariah compliant stocks, but in terms of profitability it ranks below the Shariah compliant stocks.

Financial institutions like Mutual Funds, Insurance, Portfolio management services, etc can use these Shariah compliant stocks to build profitable Shariah compliant investment portfolios and offer Shariah compliant investment products to Shariah conscious investors. They can attract the large segment of Muslim investors who have kept themselves away from the financial market till date. Besides they can also attract investors from other sections of society who do not wish their funds to be invested in companies involved in alcohol production, meat Industry, tobacco and other socially harmful activities, as companies engaged in these activities are removed during the Shariah screening process.
 
Shariah Investment is an investment fund which meets all of the requirements of Shariah law and the principles articulated for "Islamic finance." Shariah-Compliant Funds must follow a variety of rules, including investing only in Shariah-compliant companies, appointing a Shariah board, carrying out an annual Shariah audit and purifying certain prohibited types of income, such as interest, by donating them to a charity.

Shariah-Compliant Funds have expanded in popularity only recently, even though the concept was first developed in the late 1960s. The concept requires considerable effort to implement, since much attention must be paid to compliance with the Shariah principles, both at the fund operations level and for all underlying investments.

Shariah-Compliant funds are prohibited from investing in companies which derives income from the sales of alcohol, pork products, pornography, gambling, military equipment or weapons. Shariah allows for a small portion of an investment's income to come from prohibited sources, though a Shariah-Compliant fund cannot profit from this income. Instead, it must separately account for these earnings and donate them to a charity.

While the roots of Islamic finance lie in ancient Islamic principles, the development of Islamic finance as an industry is relatively new. Developing at a remarkable pace of about 10-15% a year, this industry now represents a vast global practice which has developed a worldwide presence.


This can be attributed to the fact that many predominantly Islamic nations have seen an increase in financial wealth mainly due to a surge in exports and increasing oil prices. This increasing income is fuelling an increase in demand for new Islamic financial instruments along ethically-aware Shariah principles as an alternative to conventional commercial banking and investment products.


The share of the US in the world’s GDP is expected to fall (from 21% to 18%) and that of India to rise (from 6% to 11%) by 2025. The rising GDPs of emerging nations like India have opened up newer investment avenues for rich Islamic investors from the Gulf. In addition, there is tremendous scope for developing and marketing new Islamic financial instruments and Shariah-compliant funds in India.